哪個更有可能達成目標:點球還是強力進攻?


36

從統計意義上講,冰球隊(在NHL中)更有可能在強力得分或射門得分中得分?

通常,這是我想知道當球員在接近脫離時被絆倒而裁判員判罰而不是罰球的原因。我想知道被絆倒的球員是否能取得兩者中的佼佼者。

當然,這全都取決於團隊的能力等等,這就是為什麼我問的是,是否有人可以根據一般統計數據提供答案。

34

Since the 2005-2006 NHL regular season, penalty shot opportunities consistently yielded a higher conversion percentage of goals made than power play opportunities.

graph of below data

*graph does not include data after the 2012-2013 NHL regular season


2015-2016 NHL regular season (82 game season):

Penalty Shots -- 16/58 = 27.6%
Power Plays -- 1429/7658 = 18.7%

2014-2015 NHL regular season (82 game season):

Penalty Shots -- 14/41 = 34.1%
Power Plays -- 1403/7520 = 18.6%

2013-2014 NHL regular season (82 game season):

Penalty Shots -- 21/69 = 30.4%
Power Plays -- 1441/8055 = 17.9%

2012-2013 NHL regular season (48 game lockout-shortened season):

Penalty Shots -- 8/34 = 23.5%
Power Plays -- 872/4785 = 18.2%

2011-2012 NHL regular season (82 game season):

Penalty Shots -- 27/69 = 39.1%
Power Plays -- 1408/8132 = 17.3%

2010-2011 NHL regular season (82 game season):

Penalty Shots -- 27/78 = 34.6%
Power Plays -- 1571/8179 = 18.0%

2009-2010 NHL regular season (82 game season):

Penalty Shots -- 16/55 = 29.1%
Power Plays -- 1664/9136 = 18.2%

2008-2009 NHL regular season (82 game season):

Penalty Shots -- 23/59 = 39.0%
Power Plays -- 1938/10227 = 18.9%

2007-2008 NHL regular season (82 game season):

Penalty Shots -- 19/64 = 29.7%
Power Plays -- 1871/10536 = 17.8%

2006-2007 NHL regular season (82 game season):

Penalty Shots -- 25/70 = 35.7%
Power Plays -- 2099/11935 = 17.6%

2005-2006 NHL regular season (82 game season):

Penalty Shots -- 35/103 = 33.4%
Power Plays -- 2545/14390 = 17.7%

(goals made/opportunities)

Notice the range for penalty shot conversion percentage during 82 game seasons is 11.5% (39.1 - 27.6) and the range for power play conversion percentage is 1.6% (18.9 - 17.3).