為什麼不是所有核電站都以滿負荷運行以減少排放?


5

the electricity map看,我看到許多運行核電站的國家沒有以其全部裝機功率運行它們,例如:

  • 瑞典:5.54 GW的9.10 GW容量
  • 法國:63.1GW容量中的38.00 GW

與此同時,像丹麥這樣的國家正在運營燃煤和生物質能發電廠,並將碳足跡相對較高的電力出口到瑞典:

  • 煤炭產量220兆瓦,容量1.94吉瓦
  • 出口到瑞典1095兆瓦

法國本身仍在運營天然氣發電廠:

  • 天然氣:2.62 GW的12.2 GW容量

這是什麼原因?擴大核電以降低排放量是否有意義?

6

TL;dr -- it's most economical to operate nuclear plants at a fixed output level, so other fuels are used to adjust for variations in demand. Nuclear output at any given time is limited by outages, which are driven by the need for refueling and routine maintenance.

Nuclear plants aren't load following, so other sources are needed

From Wikipedia's article on load-following power plants:

Load following is the potential for a power plant to adjust its power output as demand and price for electricity fluctuates throughout the day. In nuclear power plants, this is done by inserting control rods into the reactor pressure vessel. This operation is very inefficient as nuclear power generation is composed almost entirely of fixed and sunk costs; therefore, lowering the power output doesn't significantly reduce generating costs. Moreover, the plant is thermo-mechanically stressed. Older nuclear (and coal) power plants may take many hours, if not days, to achieve a steady state power output.

Basically, it costs money to reduce output from a nuclear plant (you're still paying salaries, maintenance, etc, while no revenue is being generated), and it takes a long time change the output.

In the case of fuel-burning plants (coal and natural gas), your costs are reduced when generation is reduced, so it makes sense to operate these in load-following mode.

You can see this in the hourly generation data from the U.S. Energy Information Agency:

U.S. electricity generation by energy source, 2/2/2020 to 2/9/2020

Nuclear is a flat line, natural gas swings wildly with two peaks a day, and coal strikes a balance between the two.

As a result, electrical systems need other power sources besides nuclear to meet fluctuating power demand -- even when nuclear is operating at 100%, the system is designed such that other sources will be required to meet all demand.

Nuclear plant availability -- why aren't they running at 100%?

Availability defines how much of the time the reactor is capable of providing power, and is a function of scheduled maintenance, refueling, and repair needs. According to the International Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA) report on Nuclear power plant outage optimisation strategy, outages are scheduled with refuelling, and fall into one of four categories:

Most of the utilities regard a 12 month fuel cycle as economically optimum. Some utilities have lengthened the fuel cycle up to 18 or 24 months. [...]

In the medium and long term planning, it has become a good practice to categorize the outages in three or four types with the objective to minimize the total outage time. The outages may be categorized into four different kinds:

  • Refuelling only, which could be worked out in 7 to 10 days,
  • Refuelling and standard maintenance, which could be worked out in 2 to 3 weeks,
  • Refuelling and extended maintenance, which can last for one month,
  • Specific outage for major backfittings or plant modernization which could take more than one month.

The IAEA provides statistics on lifetime availability by country. Here are statistics as of 2018 for the countries in the question, plus a few others for context:

Country      Reactors   Lifetime fleet availability
---------------------------------------------------
China          43                  87.6%
France         68                  76.1%
India          22                  63.8%
Japan          58                  57.4%
Sweden         12                  78.0%
U.S.          118                  81.9%

What about France?

A commenter pointed out that in France, some nuclear power plants are operated in load following mode (source: OECD Nuclear Energy Agency). From the ENTSOE transparency platform, here's generation data for the same week in France (the charting tool is limited, so I downloaded the data and made my own plot):

France electricity generation by energy source, 2020-02-02 to 2020-02-09, UTC

You can see that at the start and end of the week, nuclear fluctuates throughout the day and is operated in load following mode. But in the middle of the week, nuclear generation is held at its maximum output, and hydro (including pumped storage) is used for load following.

It also appears that gas generation is being used to back wind, which would make sense given the variability of wind and the ability of modern gas-burning plants to ramp quickly.

Here are some stats from the data on how nuclear and gas plants have operated so far this year:

STAT                       NUCLEAR           GAS
-------------------------------------------------
Installed capacity (GW)       63.1          12.2
Capacity factor YTD           78.3%         50.6%
Max output YTD (GW)           54.5           9.2
Min output YTD (GW)           35.7           2.6

The World Nuclear Organization profile page on France gives some context to these numbers (as of October 2019):

France's nuclear reactors comprise 90% of EdF's [Électricité de France, the government-owned utility] capacity and hence are used in load-following mode [...] and are even sometimes closed over weekends, so their capacity factor is low by world standards, at 77.3%. However, availability is almost 84% and increasing.


0

It is because government regulations limit the power output of the reactors. There are various regulations such as verifying reliability of a new unit. I remember following the gradual permitted increase in power from the Zion unit north of Chicago when it was new. Nukes are generally used for base line power , that is they are run constantly at whatever power the government will allow. Gas turbines are the first choice for peak load power as they start fast and there are usually several so they can be brought on-line one at a time as needed.